Investment Decision on Government Bonds and Sukuk in Indonesia

Authors

  • Eko Suharti Tazkia Institute

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.13135/2421-2172/5993

Keywords:

Investment Decision, Dynamic Model, Government Bonds, Sukuk

Abstract

This research aims to find the factors that influence the decisions of institutional investors to invest in Government Bonds and Sukuk, as well as to disclose the oversubscribes of State Securities issued by Indonesian government. The investment decisions of investors in this study use a proxy data approach from variables that affect investment decisions. The type of research used is quantitative research using an econometric approach with the Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (Dynamic) Model. The research data used is a time series for eleven periods from 2009 to 2020. Data are analyzed using ARDL (Dynamic) Model with determination of lag using the Koyck model.  The result of this research is that investment decisions with a rational approach to government bonds and sukuk are strongly influenced by macroeconomic and policy variables (inflation, exchange rates and the interest rate) and financial markets (financing interest rates, deposit rates, volumes and coupon rates).

References

[1] M.M. Haque, O.I. Bacha, M.A. Chowdhury and M. Masih. “Who Drives Whom-Sukuk or Bond? A New Evidence from Grager Causality and Wavelet Approach”. Wiley Journal of Financial Economics. April 2017
[2] S. Cakir and F. Raei. “Sukuk vs Eurobonds : Is There a Difference in Value at Risk?”. IMF Working Paper. 2007
[3] T. Robin and M. Bierlaire. “Modeling Investor Behavior”. Journal of Choice Modelling, 5(1), 98-130. 2012
[4] B.D. Barber and T. Odean. “Trading Is Hazardous to Your Wealth : The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investor”. The Journal of Finance. Vol LV. 2000
[5] G. Cohen and Kudryavtsev. “Investor Rationality and Financial Decisions”. The Journal Of Behavioral Finance, 13: 11–16.2012.
[6] A. Duqi and H.H. Al Tamimi. “Factors affecting investors decision regarding investment in Islamic Sukuk”. Qualitative Research in Financial Markets. 11(1). pp 60-72.2018
[7] A. Said and R. Grassa..” The Determinants of Sukuk Market Development : Does Macroeconomic Faktors Influence the Construction of Certain Structure of Sukuk”. Journal oF Applied Finance & Banking , Vol 3 No 5, pp 251-267.2013
[8] H.H. Mohamed, M. Masih and O.I. Bacha. “Why do issuers issue Sukuk or conventional bond? Evidence from Malaysian listed firms using partial adjustment models”. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 34, 233–252.2015
[9] R.E. Bailey, “The Economic of Financial Market”. Cambrige University Press.2005.
[10] F.S. Mishkin and S.G. Eakins. “Financial Markets and Institutions”. Seventh edition. Prentice Hall.2012. (references)
[11] K. Bain and P. Howells. ”Financial Markets and Institutions”. Prentice Hall. Fifth edition.2007.
[12] L.M. Ball. ”Money, Banking, and Financial Markets”. Johns Hopkins University .2012
[13] M. Massa and A. Simonov. “Behavioral Biases and Investment”. Stockholm School of Economics. Review of Finance 9: 483–507.2005.
[14] PP. Drake and F.J Fabozzi. “The Basic Of Finance An Introduction to Financial Markets”, Business Finance, and Portfolio Management. John Wiley and Sons, Inc. 2010.
[15] F.J Fabozzi and P.P. Drake. “Finance: Capital Markets, Financial Management, and Investment Management”. John Wiley & Sons, I.2009
[16] A. Chandra. “Decision Making in the Stock Market : Incorporating Psychology with Finance”. National Conference, Munich Personal RePEc Archieve. 2008
[17] B. Saeed. ”Investment Characteristic of Islamic Investment Portfolios: Evidence from Saudi Mutual Funds and Global Indices”. Durham E-Theses. unpublished, 2012.
[18] L. Henry and K. Primus. “The Dynamics of Involuntary Commercial Banks’ Reserves In Trinidad and Tobago”. Spring, Journal of Developing Areas Volume 48 . 2014
[19] M. Saxegaard.” Excess Liquidity and Effectiveness of Monetary Policy: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa”. IMF Working Paper.2006
[20] M.B Bathaluddin, P.M.N. Adhi .& W.A. Wibowo). Impact of Excess Liquidity Persistence on Monetary Policy. 14 (3), 257-282 .2012
[21] Bank Indonesia. http://www.bi.go.id/ .2020
[22] R. Chami, C. Fullenkamp and S. Sharma. “A Framework For Financial Market Development”. Journal of Economic, Policy Reform Vol 13, No 2. 107-135.2010.
[23] M. Goswani and S. Sharma. “The Development of Local Debt Markets in Asia”. IMF Working Paper. No WP/11/132
[24] P.P. Biancone and M. Radwan.”Sharia-Compliant financing for public utility infrastructure. ”Journal of Utilities Policy. 52, (2018), pp.88–94. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jup.2018.03.006.
[25] D.N. Gujarati. “Basic Econometrics”. Fourth Edition . The McGraw-Hill.2004.
[26] W.H. Greene.” Econometric Analysis” Fifth Edition. Prentice Hall.2003.
[27] R. Ismal. “The Management Of Liquidity Risk In Islamic Banks” : The Case of Indonesia. Durham E-Theses, unpublished.2010

Downloads

Published

2021-08-31

How to Cite

Suharti, E. (2021). Investment Decision on Government Bonds and Sukuk in Indonesia. European Journal of Islamic Finance, (18). https://doi.org/10.13135/2421-2172/5993

Similar Articles

<< < 2 3 4 5 6 7 

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.